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Reports
REPORT

TRANSPORT IN EUROPE

Trends | Data | Analysis

May - June 2025

Quarterly report for the European TSL sector Leaders – Issue 3/2025

This report contains:

our proprietary data from the Trans.eu spot market platform,

causes of the July correction in the growth of load postings and carrier activity across most European routes,

overview of the dynamic situation on the Polish transport market – demand for freight is slowly increasing, yet carrier activity remains below expectations,

analysis of Italy’s freight bonanza – sources of increased load postings and rate trends under limited transport capacity,

forecasts of a market rebound in Germany – shipper activity is on the rise, but what about carrier interest and rate levels?,

registrations and bankruptcies of TSL companies, macroeconomic and business climate data – a summary of the latest figures with expert commentary.

Table of contents
04
July tremors rock European routes

The number of loads on the freight exchange keeps growing, but there are fewer and fewer carriers willing to hit the road. Where are the most loads being posted — and where is transport capacity lacking? Maybe it’s your trucks that will fill the gap.

12
Dynamic situation in Poland

Poland has become a two-speed market. While imports are gaining momentum and demand for transport services to Poland remains strong, in the opposite direction there is no surge in available loads. We analyse the factors behind this concerning trend.

17
Is Germany waking up from slumber?

The German economy is showing its first positive signals in a long time. Demand for transport from Germany is rising, yet carriers remain reluctant. We analyse whether this marks the start of a sustainable recovery.

22
A freight bonanza in Italy

Italy’s freight gold rush – load offers have surged, while carrier availability remains limited. We analyse why Southern Europe has become a carrier’s market and how long this situation may last.

28
Contracts are rising again

Contract rates in Europe are rising again after a short-term dip. We analyse whether the trend will continue and which strategy — spot or contract — may bring better results.

31
European road transport in 2024 – better than its predecessor

International road transport performance increased by 2.7% year on year. We analyse which markets drive this growth, where the largest volumes are concentrated, and which new players are dynamically expanding their footprint.

35
Industrial production

This is where freight demand originates. We analyse whether European factories are accelerating or slowing down — a key factor shaping transport demand in the next quarter.

36
Retail sales

Consumers remain the final link in the demand chain. Their purchasing appetite drives market momentum and ultimately determines transport volumes. We examine whether consumer demand is still strong enough to sustain growth

38
Production of services

The invisible engine of the economy — and a key driver of transport demand. We take the pulse of the services sector to forecast whether it will sustain its pace in the coming months.

39
Production of services – transport

Here, we measure the heartbeat of our industry. The data reveals the sector’s current performance and results — and they might surprise you.

40
GDP

One of the key barometers of the economy. Are major European markets still stuck in stagnation, or are they starting to recover? Check whether the storm will last — or if the sun is finally breaking through the clouds.

41
HICP inflation

A silent thief stealing consumers’ real incomes and companies’ profit margins. We show — in black and white — where money is slipping away the fastest and how it affects the economy and demand.

42
HICP Inflation for Transport

Beyond the headline figures — this is the inflation that directly hits carriers: fuel, parts, and tolls. We analyse where margins are under the strongest pressure

43
The economic situation in Europe – sunshine only in Spain

As economic clouds gather over much of Europe, Spain remains a bright spot. We analyse why it defies the trend and what business opportunities this creates.

49
New firms emerge, but bankruptcies outpace them

Even as the economy slows, new transport firms are emerging rapidly — yet nearly twice as many face bankruptcy. We examine this harsh market selection and the factors that decide who survives and who falls.

51
Fluctuations in European truck registrations

A new truck purchase is an investment in the future — but one carriers are increasingly hesitant to make. We analyse unstable registration data to explain the slump in some markets and the reasons others are holding up.

Experts of the report
Karol Kupczak

Karol Kupczak

Director of Transport and Logistics

Flash Logistic

Maciej Zwyrtek

Maciej Zwyrtek

General Sales Director

Kuźnia Trans

Stéphanie Jousse

Stéphanie Jousse

Freight Director

Ziegler France

Nicolò Berghinz

Nicolò Berghinz

Head of External Relations, Development and Public Affairs

ALIS - Associazione Interlogistica dell’Intermodalità Sostenibile

dr Paweł Trębicki

dr Paweł Trębicki

Managing Director Central East Region

Rhenus Logistics

Elżbieta Kubiak

Elżbieta Kubiak

CEO

Elmark Transport

Marek Chudy

Marek Chudy

Operations Manager

TSL Antkowiak

Stefano Codognotto

Stefano Codognotto

Executive Director

Codognotto Italia S.p.A.

Jorge Lloret Peiró

Jorge Lloret Peiró

CEO

Monsala Business SLU

Marta Gutiérrez Burón

Marta Gutiérrez Burón

Planning, Logistics & Operations Manager

Betsaide

Romain Mouton

Romain Mouton

Senior Research Manager

IRU

Piotr Szałkiewicz

Piotr Szałkiewicz

European Road Network Director

Rohlig Suus Logistics

PhD Eng. Adam Koliński

PhD Eng. Adam Koliński

Professor of the Higher School of Logistics (WSL)

Marcin Potapczuk

Marcin Potapczuk

CEO

PDP LOGISTICS SP. Z O.O.

Natalia Foszt

Natalia Foszt

Business Development Director

Omida VLS

Arleta Marczyńska

Arleta Marczyńska

CEO

eXportsy

Maciej Wroński

Maciej Wroński

President

Transport and Logistics Poland

Andrzej Misiak

Andrzej Misiak

COO

ITEffect AB

PhD Eng. Mateusz Zając

PhD Eng. Mateusz Zając

Wrocław University of Technology

Radosław Lemieszek

Radosław Lemieszek

Director of Warehouse Logistics and Contract Fleet

MCG Logistics

Report in numbers

21

industry experts

55

pages of practical insights

12

institutional data providers

33

practical tips and expert commentaries

Opinions about the report

I would like to thank you for preparing an excellent report. The observations it contains allowed us to confront our current initiatives with today’s market challenges and assess how adequately we are responding to them. You’ve done an impressive job – at a time when both people and artificial intelligence are hungry for reliable analysis, such publications become an invaluable support in making informed decisions about the future. Congratulations to the entire PITD team! 🥰

Łukasz Kosturek
Łukasz Kosturek Product Line Manager | Trans.eu

If you work in the TSL industry — or are directly or indirectly involved in this sector — I truly and sincerely RECOMMEND taking a moment to read the PITD report. It offers many interesting insights that encourage reflection on the current and future state of the market. 👍

Wacław Kowalski
Wacław KowalskiSales Director | ECE Logistics

The PITD report offers an in-depth and comprehensive view of the European road transport sector, highlighting a clear gap between the rising volume of freight offers and the limited transport capacity. For Poland, this signals a loss of competitive edge on major export routes, while for Germany – as Poland’s key trading partner – it points to growing supply chain risks.

Mariusz Derdziak
Mariusz Derdziak Business Partner I FREEFLOW

Miałem okazję zapoznać się z poprzednim raportem „Transport w Europie” i zrobił na mnie bardzo dobre wrażenie. Zawiera dużo konkretnych danych, ciekawe wnioski i świetną formę graficzną. Szczególnie interesujące były dane dotyczące wzrostu przewozów intermodalnych oraz poprawy koniunktury w Polsce. Raport jest bardzo dobrze przygotowany – klarowna struktura, bogactwo danych oraz trafne analizy czynią go nie tylko interesującym, ale i użytecznym w zrozumieniu aktualnych wyzwań oraz kierunków rozwoju transportu w Europie.

Krzysztof Matuszewski
Krzysztof MatuszewskiEkspert ds. ekonomiki transportu | ekspertyzytransportowe.pl

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TRANSPORT IN EUROPE
TRANSPORT IN EUROPETrends | Data | AnalysisMay - June 2025Quarterly report for the European TSL sector Leaders – Issue 3/2025
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